Tax Deadlines

Q4 2026 estimated taxes. The January 15, 2027 payment and how safe harbor works

The last 2026 estimated payment is due Friday, January 15, 2027. Who has to pay, how the federal safe-harbor rules work, and what Georgia does differently.

By EZ Financial Fitness.

This guide is for anyone whose income does not have enough tax withheld from it. Self-employed people and single-member LLC owners, households with a side business, rental income or investment gains, S corporation owners whose salary withholding does not cover their distributions, and anyone who paid a penalty last spring and would rather not repeat it. Every date and figure below was verified October 3, 2026 against the sources listed at the end.

The date

The fourth and final estimated payment for tax year 2026 is due Friday, January 15, 2027. That is a normal business day, so there is no weekend or holiday adjustment this year. Georgia’s fourth payment, made with Form 500-ES or through the Georgia Tax Center, is due the same day.

The federal schedule for 2026 was April 15, June 15 and September 15, 2026, and then January 15, 2027. The gaps are uneven on purpose, so if you set reminders by “every three months” you were late once already. Georgia follows the same four dates.

Who has to pay

Federal. You generally need to make estimated payments if you expect to owe $1,000 or more for 2026 after subtracting withholding and refundable credits. Withholding from a W-2 job or a pension counts toward that test, which is why a household with one salary and one side business sometimes needs no estimates at all and sometimes needs all four.

Georgia. Georgia does not use an “owe $1,000” test. It uses an income test. You are expected to pay estimates if your Georgia gross income for the year is more than your exemptions plus your estimated deductions plus $1,000 of income that is not subject to withholding. In practice, most people who need federal estimates also need Georgia estimates, but the trigger is worded differently and it is worth checking both.

How safe harbor works

Safe harbor is the amount you can pay in during the year that protects you from an underpayment penalty, even if you end up owing more when you file. You still owe the balance on April 15. The safe harbor just means no penalty for the gap.

Federal. Pay the smaller of these two amounts through withholding and estimates, spread across the four due dates.

  • 90 percent of your 2026 tax, or
  • 100 percent of your 2025 tax. If your 2025 adjusted gross income was more than $150,000, or more than $75,000 if married filing separately, this becomes 110 percent of your 2025 tax.

The prior-year option only works if your 2025 return covered a full 12 months. The reason most planners lean on it is simple. Last year’s tax is a known number in January. This year’s tax is a projection until the books are closed.

Georgia. The state’s required annual payment is the smaller of 100 percent of your 2025 Georgia tax or 70 percent of your 2026 Georgia tax, again with the prior-year return covering 12 months. Georgia has no 110 percent rule for higher incomes, and its underpayment penalty runs at 9 percent per year, computed by the number of days each installment was late.

An example without figures

A consultant (illustrative, not a client) had a strong 2026. Income roughly doubled, and nothing was withheld. The simplest safe harbor is to pay 100 percent of the 2025 federal tax across the four dates, with the last installment on January 15, 2027, and 100 percent of the 2025 Georgia tax on the same schedule. The consultant will owe a meaningful balance on April 15, 2027, because the safe harbor was based on a smaller year, but there is no underpayment penalty on it. The planning job is to make sure the cash for April is sitting in a tax account, not spent.

If 2025 was the bigger year instead, the 90 percent and 70 percent current-year options are the ones to use, and that takes a projection.

The February 1 exception

You do not have to make the January 15, 2027 federal payment if you file your 2026 return and pay the entire balance due by February 1, 2027. For most people that is not realistic, because forms like the 1099 and the W-2 arrive right around that date. For a simple return with the figures already in hand, it is a legitimate way to combine the last estimate with the filing.

If you are behind

Three things to know. Estimated-tax penalties are figured installment by installment, so catching up in January does not erase a shortfall from June, but it does stop it from growing. Second, withholding is generally treated as if it had been paid evenly across the year, no matter when it was actually taken out. A W-2 earner with a side business can sometimes cure an earlier shortfall by raising withholding in the final paychecks of the year, which is a planning conversation, not a form. Third, a late payment is still worth making. The penalty is computed by days, so every day sooner is cheaper.

What to do before January 15

  1. Pull your 2025 federal and Georgia returns and find the total tax on each. That gives you the 100 percent numbers, or the 110 percent federal number if your 2025 AGI was above the threshold.
  2. Add up what has already been paid in for 2026. Withholding from every W-2 and 1099-R, plus the three earlier estimates, federal and Georgia separately.
  3. Estimate 2026 tax from the books, or from a projection if the books are not reliable. If the books are the problem, five signs your books need a cleanup is the place to start.
  4. Compare. The smaller of the safe-harbor amount and the projected amount, minus what is already paid in, is the January payment. Repeat for Georgia with the 70 percent and 100 percent rules.
  5. Pay federal electronically through IRS Direct Pay or your IRS online account, and Georgia through the Georgia Tax Center, and keep the confirmations with your 2026 tax documents.

What EZ Financial Fitness does here

We do not send generic numbers. A tax projection takes your year-to-date income, withholding, earlier estimates and planned purchases and turns them into a federal and a Georgia payment with the safe-harbor check shown. It is credited toward a plan if you decide to go further, and it is the first step in every Tax Strategy engagement. For a do-it-yourself version, the EZ Estimated Tax Planner on our Digital Products page applies the same safe-harbor checks and carries the version date of the rules built into it.

What to do next

If you expect to owe and have not paid estimates this year, book a consultation before the end of December. January 15 arrives faster than the paperwork does, and the difference between a projection in December and a guess in January is usually the penalty.

Dates and figures in this article apply to tax year 2026 and were verified October 3, 2026 against the sources listed below. The IRS publishes the 2027 schedule in its 2027 Form 1040-ES and Publication 509, and this article is reviewed in the first two weeks of January. Verify before you act.

Sources

  1. IRS, 2026 Form 1040-ES (due dates, who must pay, safe-harbor rules, the February 1 exception). Accessed October 3, 2026.
  2. IRS, Estimated taxes. Accessed October 3, 2026.
  3. IRS, Publication 509, Tax Calendars (2026 edition, weekend and holiday rule). Accessed October 3, 2026.
  4. Georgia Department of Revenue, Form 500-ES, Estimated Tax for Individuals and Fiduciaries. Accessed October 3, 2026.
  5. Georgia Department of Revenue, Form 500 UET, Underpayment of Estimated Tax. Accessed October 3, 2026.
  6. Georgia.gov, Pay Estimated Tax. Accessed October 3, 2026.
Educational content

The information on this website, including our Insights articles, the Financial Fitness Checkup, free checklists and digital products, is provided for general educational purposes only. It is not tax, legal, accounting or financial advice for your specific situation, and reading it or using it does not create a client relationship with EZ Financial Fitness, LLC. Tax laws and deadlines change often and apply differently to different facts. Figures and dates are current as of the date shown on each page and should be verified before you act on them. Individualized advice is provided only under a signed engagement after we have reviewed your facts. EZ Financial Fitness, LLC is not a CPA firm or a law firm.

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